I’ve recently been through our business plan and noticed that our breakeven point has increased several hundred dollars per week since the last time I did the exercise, about three years ago.
Continue reading “Breakeven cost creep”
Month: November 2018
Comparison 2 weeks – Gross kWh consumption – HRV installation
Two weeks ago we installed an HRV system in the administration block at the motel manager flat. Based on the data we’ve collected since then, I have put together a comparison of the pre- and post-installation kWh consumption data to arrive at a (very rough) indication of return on investment for an HRV system.
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Post installation daily data (total kWH consumption)
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Pre-installation daily data (total kWh consumption)
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25.3
|
9.28
|
22.8
|
17.8
|
18.3
|
22.2
|
12.5
|
22.6
|
14.7
|
29.7
|
10.7
|
21.3
|
14.9
|
15.3
|
22.2
|
26.8
|
15.6
|
22.1
|
11.1
|
19
|
18.3
|
17.8
|
8.22
|
22.3
|
10.6
|
17.7
|
12.2
|
22.3
|
217.42
|
286.18
|
15.53
|
20.44
|
Now, obviously there are some assumptions. A motel business is always moving and changing, so no two sets of data collected from two different timeframes will be directly comparable. In this instance, I have compared the data from the two weeks before we installed the HRV system with the data from the two weeks directly after we installed the HRV system. The reasons this may not be sufficient data to give a realistic return on investment calculation are as follows:
a) The data set is very small, spanning only 4 weeks of total daily kWh consumption at our property
b) The data was collected from two different seasonal periods. We are currently at the very start of spring, days are growing longer and temperatures are getting gradually better. Therefore some of the daily kWh consumption savings may be attributable to changes in daily temperatures and light hours, rather than to the system itself
c) The period between the end of winter and the start of spring may be the period when the HRV system delivers its best savings. The reason for this is that there is now enough heat to heat the roof space to a higher temperature than the living space, whereas at other times of the year the difference between these two temperatures may not be that significant.
There are also reasons why this data would not be indicative of other households. It is a reflection of the consumption saving in our motel administration block only, because of the following:
a) Our administration block is a certain size, and the system may function differently based on the building design.
b) Having a system that circulates warm air from cavities in the roof into colder parts of the living area is all well and good, but unless that system encourages the people who occupy that space to make actual changes to the way they use electricity for heating, then there won’t be as pronounced a difference in the before and after data. (ie if you install an HRV system but then continue to run your electric heaters regardless, you won’t save any energy at all.)
c) The system itself has different settings, each of which use different levels of power and produce different results, which I have only begun to play around with.
d) We have already undertaken energy saving initiatives to reduce the heating bill. These will be unique to our motel administration block.
For all of those above reasons, the data I am reproducing here is indicative only and ought not to be considered a benchmark for other households installing an HRV system.
Based on the data above and the assumptions noted, I have drawn the following table of conclusions:
Average kWh Saving (Daily)
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4.911
|
Current value in $ (ex GST)
|
$1.19
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Current value in $ (inc GST)
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$1.37
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Gross annual saving (inc GST)
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$500.96
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Maintenance Cost (annual)
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$115.00
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Assumed net saving (inc GST)
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$385.96
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Return on Investment
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11.35%
|
Note that I am applying our current kWh cost of $0.243 + GST per kWh, which we receive from Nova Energy.
The above table gives an indication of simple ROI, but does not allow for inflation. One of the main benefits of an HRV system is that if it functions well, it can reduce the number of kWh actually required to heat a home. This has a counter-inflationary effect, because the price per kWh tends to go up over time. I have it that based on the past 40 years of NZ retail electricity data, the price per kWh has gone up an average of 3.2% per annum. Extrapolating this out to the next 20 years, we can produce a more complex picture of return on investment over time.
Year
|
Cost per kWh inc GST
|
Net return from HRV system per year
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Annual ROI from HRV system (%)
|
2018
|
$0.28
|
$385.92
|
11.35%
|
2019
|
$0.29
|
$401.95
|
11.82%
|
2020
|
$0.30
|
$418.49
|
12.31%
|
2021
|
$0.31
|
$435.56
|
12.81%
|
2022
|
$0.32
|
$453.18
|
13.33%
|
2023
|
$0.33
|
$471.36
|
13.86%
|
2024
|
$0.34
|
$490.13
|
14.42%
|
2025
|
$0.35
|
$509.49
|
14.98%
|
2026
|
$0.36
|
$529.47
|
15.57%
|
2027
|
$0.37
|
$550.10
|
16.18%
|
2028
|
$0.38
|
$571.38
|
16.81%
|
2029
|
$0.40
|
$593.34
|
17.45%
|
2030
|
$0.41
|
$616.01
|
18.12%
|
2031
|
$0.42
|
$639.40
|
18.81%
|
2032
|
$0.43
|
$663.54
|
19.52%
|
2033
|
$0.45
|
$688.46
|
20.25%
|
2034
|
$0.46
|
$714.17
|
21.00%
|
2035
|
$0.48
|
$740.70
|
21.79%
|
2035
|
$0.49
|
$768.08
|
22.59%
|
2035
|
$0.51
|
$796.34
|
23.42%
|
2035
|
$0.52
|
$825.50
|
24.28%
|
Sum of cashflows
|
$12,262.57
|
17.17%
|
Note in conclusion that this data is all very early, may have been collected at an optimal time of year for the system, and if later stages of the year show lower returns, it would distort the figures above significantly. However, despite one or two things, which I’ll cover in later articles, I am overall fairly pleased with the investment.
Generate Kiwisaver versus Simplicity Kiwisaver
Following on from my decision to invest an additional $2 per week into Kiwisaver, I went through a process of assessing my long term goals, reviewing the available funds and their investment philosophies, and arriving at the decision that the best long term investment option that met my investment criteria was the Simplicity Kiwisaver Balanced Fund.
Continue reading “Generate Kiwisaver versus Simplicity Kiwisaver”
Cliff Notes on Company Failure: Ebert Construction
This is my bullet point summary on the failure of Ebert Construction, based on the news articles I have read.
Continue reading “Cliff Notes on Company Failure: Ebert Construction”